New Analysis Shows Coronavirus Model Used by White House Drastically Overestimates Pandemic Numbers
Shane Trejo
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The coronavirus models used by the White House are dramatically overestimating the numbers who will potentially become afflicted with the sickness, according to analysis conducted by The Federalist co-founder Sean Davis.
Davis issued a report on social media showing that the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) model used by the White House is heavily skewed toward alarmist numbers.
https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/1245742813016395777
Davis also studied data on a state-by-state basis using the IHME model and found it to be severely flawed in every instance.
https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/1245742816342532096
https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/1245742819152670720
https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/1245742822512381954
“If we’re going to shut down the entire nation’s economy to “flatten the curve” based on the projections of a single model, it shouldn’t be too much to ask that the model approximate reality when it comes to hospitalizations,” Davis asked in a subsequent tweet.
The Trump administration initially pushed back against coronavirus hysteria, but they have succumbed to it in recent days. They extended their social distancing recommendations until Apr. 30 earlier this week, which may ultimately cripple the national economy. Trump had previously said that he hoped to have the country back up and running by Easter Sunday.
Big League Politics reported on the White House’s embrace of coronavirus panic earlier this week:
The federal government won’t end up recommending that Americans start getting back to work by Easter, with President Donald Trump extending the Center for Disease Control’s ‘Social Distancing’ guidelines to April 30th.
President Trump announced the move in a press briefing of the national Coronavirus Task Force in the Rose Garden Sunday.
The strategy represents a departure from a suggestion raised by Trump earlier in the month, who accepts the need to place the national economy on hold to appropriately focus on combating the epidemic in the United States.
“Nothing would be worse than declaring victory before the victory has been won,” stated the President. “Therefore we will be extending our guidelines to April 30.”
The guidelines suggest that Americans avoid congregating in groups of people more than ten and that most non-essential businesses and organizations physically close.
President Trump also mentioned that he’s considering to invoke further use of the Defense Production Act to marshal the manufacturing capabilities of private companies hesitant to accept government contracts to manufacture necessary supplies such as ventilators and masks.
Based on their use of the flawed models, the Trump administration is now predicting that over 100,000 Americans will die because of the coronavirus. The White House believes that the next two weeks will be particularly deadly.
“This is going to be a rough two week period,” Trump said. “As a nation we’re going to have a really rough two weeks. Our strength will be tested and our endurance will be tried.”
“This could be a hell of a bad two weeks. This is going to be a very bad two or maybe even three weeks. This is going to be three weeks like we’ve never seen before,” he added.
Americans have jettisoned independence and rationality in the face of the coronavirus pandemic, and their lost liberties may never return when this nightmare comes to an end.
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