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Big League-Gravis Alabama poll: Roy Moore clings to slim lead over Doug Jones, 48% to 46%

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Democratic Alabama Senate nominee G. Douglas Jones with support of 46 percent of respondents has closed within two percentage points of Republican Roy S. Moore with 48 percent, in the wake of the Nov. 9 report that roughly 40 years ago, Moore had sexually-tinged encounters with at least four women, including one who was then 14-years-old, according to the Big League-Gravis poll of 478 likely voters conducted Nov. 10.

“Moore was ahead in other polls and seemed like he was cruising for an easy win, but this story in The Washington Post has been a heavy blow to Moore,” said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based company that executed the poll. The poll carries a 4.5 percent margin of error.

Moore and Jones are campaigning to fill the unexpired term of Attorney General Jefferson B. “Jeff” Session in the Dec. 12 special election.

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“Moore’s task is to convince voters who do not believe him or trust him to vote for him because they agree with him on the issues,” Kaplan said.

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“There are still large numbers of voters, who are undecided and trying to figure out how to react,” he said.

“What Moore does in the next few days is critical, people agree with him on the issues, but they certainly recoil at the details of what these women told The Post,” he said.

“Thirty-nine percent of the voters in the poll believe the four women and 36 percent believe Judge Moore, who has denied all the charges, but he did admit he knew some of the women,” he said.

Friday, Moore issued a blanket denial: “I have never provided alcohol to minors, and I have never engaged in sexual misconduct. As a father of a daughter and a grandfather of five granddaughters, I condemn the actions of any man who engages in sexual misconduct not just against minors but against any woman.”

Asked: Do you believe The Washington Post did the right thing in publishing these accusations? Forty-two percent said yes and 38 percent said no and 19 percent were undecided.

Asked: Do you trust Roy Moore? Forty-three percent said no and 40 percent said yes with 17 percent undecided.

Asked: Do you believe these accusations about Roy Moore? Forty percent said they believe accusations and 43 percent said they do not.

Whether or not one believes Moore’s denials depends on party identity.

Among Republicans, 62 percent believe Moore and 12 percent do not. Among Democrats, 13 percent believe Moore compared to 53 percent of Democrats, who said they do not believe him.

Thirty-six percent of women believe Moore and 37 percent do not.

Forty-three percent of men believe Moore and 26 percent do not.

Forty-eight of the poll participants were Republicans and 33 percent of the participants are Democrats.

The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phones users. The results are weighted to match a proprietary voter turnout model.

Check out the whole poll results here:

Complete Big League-Gravis Alabama Poll (November 10, 2017) v2

Check out the poll’s crosstabs here:

Crosstabs by question – Table Format 2

CROSSTABS – AL v2

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New Mexico Will Be Newest State to Enact Unconstitutional ‘Red Flag’ Gun Confiscation

The 2nd Amendment is under attack like never before.

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The state of New Mexico will be the next state to enact red flag laws that will strip due process rights from gun owners and confiscate their weapons based on an edict from a judge.

The New Mexico state house approved a red flag bill by a 39-31 vote last week. Having previously been passed in the state senate by a 22-20 margin earlier this month, the legislation will be placed on the desk of Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham, who is a massive proponent of red flag laws and expected to enthusiastically sign the bill into law.

“We have an obligation to every single New Mexican, every single family, every single child that we do everything in our power that can provide just that additional layer of safety and public support,” Lujan Grisham said about her support of red flag laws.

The legislation was not passed unanimously by all Democrats in the state house, as legislators Harry Garcia of Grants, Raymundo Lara of Chamberino, Willie Madrid of Chaparral, Rudy Martinez of Bayard, Patricio Ruiloba of Albuquerque, Joseph Sanchez of Alcalde and Candie Sweetser of Deming joined Republicans in opposing the bill.

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New Mexico will be the 18th state, along with Washington D.C., to pass this unconstitutional measure that eviscerates multiple amendments of the U.S. Constitution. Counties are passing resolutions to urge Gov. Lujan Grisham not to sign the bill into law.

“Senate Bill 5 and House Bill 7 make criminals of innocent citizens and deprive them of due process of law by making it a criminal offense for gun-owners living with a person made subject to a Red Flag order to not secure their guns from that person, even if the gun owner had no knowledge of the Red Flag order or had no control over another person’s actions,” a resolution passed in Lincoln County states.

In addition to Lincoln County, the counties of Otero and Torrence have passed resolutions condemning red flag laws. Doña Ana County passed a resolution in favor of the anti-constitutional measures.

Big League Politics has highlighted some of the worst abuses stemming from red flag laws that have occurred throughout the country, including a military veteran who lost his weapons due to a case of mistaken identity in Florida; a doctor snitching on a patient who was suing him so his guns would be confiscated in New Jersey; an Iraq War veteran who lost his guns after protesting the governor while wearing a MAGA hat in Oregon; and a man who lost his life when police came to confiscate his guns in Maryland.

Sadly, it will not be long before these kind of heinous abuses come to the state of New Mexico. Lujan Grisham is expected to sign the legislation into law in the upcoming days.

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