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Big League-Gravis Alabama poll: Roy Moore clings to slim lead over Doug Jones, 48% to 46%

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Democratic Alabama Senate nominee G. Douglas Jones with support of 46 percent of respondents has closed within two percentage points of Republican Roy S. Moore with 48 percent, in the wake of the Nov. 9 report that roughly 40 years ago, Moore had sexually-tinged encounters with at least four women, including one who was then 14-years-old, according to the Big League-Gravis poll of 478 likely voters conducted Nov. 10.

“Moore was ahead in other polls and seemed like he was cruising for an easy win, but this story in The Washington Post has been a heavy blow to Moore,” said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based company that executed the poll. The poll carries a 4.5 percent margin of error.

Moore and Jones are campaigning to fill the unexpired term of Attorney General Jefferson B. “Jeff” Session in the Dec. 12 special election.

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“Moore’s task is to convince voters who do not believe him or trust him to vote for him because they agree with him on the issues,” Kaplan said.

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“There are still large numbers of voters, who are undecided and trying to figure out how to react,” he said.

“What Moore does in the next few days is critical, people agree with him on the issues, but they certainly recoil at the details of what these women told The Post,” he said.

“Thirty-nine percent of the voters in the poll believe the four women and 36 percent believe Judge Moore, who has denied all the charges, but he did admit he knew some of the women,” he said.

Friday, Moore issued a blanket denial: “I have never provided alcohol to minors, and I have never engaged in sexual misconduct. As a father of a daughter and a grandfather of five granddaughters, I condemn the actions of any man who engages in sexual misconduct not just against minors but against any woman.”

Asked: Do you believe The Washington Post did the right thing in publishing these accusations? Forty-two percent said yes and 38 percent said no and 19 percent were undecided.

Asked: Do you trust Roy Moore? Forty-three percent said no and 40 percent said yes with 17 percent undecided.

Asked: Do you believe these accusations about Roy Moore? Forty percent said they believe accusations and 43 percent said they do not.

Whether or not one believes Moore’s denials depends on party identity.

Among Republicans, 62 percent believe Moore and 12 percent do not. Among Democrats, 13 percent believe Moore compared to 53 percent of Democrats, who said they do not believe him.

Thirty-six percent of women believe Moore and 37 percent do not.

Forty-three percent of men believe Moore and 26 percent do not.

Forty-eight of the poll participants were Republicans and 33 percent of the participants are Democrats.

The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phones users. The results are weighted to match a proprietary voter turnout model.

Check out the whole poll results here:

Complete Big League-Gravis Alabama Poll (November 10, 2017) v2

Check out the poll’s crosstabs here:

Crosstabs by question – Table Format 2

CROSSTABS – AL v2

Big League Guns

Florida Sheriff Will Deputize Gun Owners if Rioters “Overwhelm” County

He’s not messing around.

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A Florida sheriff is pledging to deputize law-abiding gun owners within his county if left-wing rioters “overwhelm” law enforcement.

Darryl Daniels, Clay County Sheriff, made the pledge in a video released on Tuesday morning. He also slammed misinformation and hysteria advanced by the mainstream media, inciting against law enforcement and covering up the criminal activities of lawless rioters.

If we can’t handle you, I’ll exercise the power and authority as the sheriff, and I’ll make special deputies of every lawful gun owner in this county and I’ll deputize them for this one purpose to stand in the gap between lawlessness and civility,” warned Sheriff Daniels.

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The sheriff issued a direct warning to ANTIFA criminals and left-wing rioters hoping to replicate a model of destruction, violence and criminal activity in his jurisdiction, a county just south of Jacksonville.

If you threaten to come to Clay County… And think for one second that we’ll bend our backs for you- you’re sadly mistaken. I know what happens when lawlessness prevails… If we can’t handle you, you know what I’ll do? I will exercise the power and authority of the sheriff, and I will make special deputies of every lawful gun owner in this country… to stand in the gap between lawlessness and civility.”

Daniels has served 29 years in law enforcement, previously serving in the U.S. Navy.

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