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Big League-Gravis Virginia Poll: Northam 48% v. Gillespie 43% in final stretch towards Nov. 7 Election Day



Democrat Lt. Gov. Ralph S. Northam has kept his all-race-long lead over Republican Edward W. Gillespie as the two gubernatorial candidates sprint to the Nov. 7 finish line with Northam the choice of 48 percent of the voters compared to Gillespie’s 43 percent, according to the Big League-Gravis poll conducted Oct. 30 through Nov. 3 with 1,143 registered voters.

“The establishment pundits will make a bigger deal about this race then it is,” said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based company that executing the poll. The poll carries a 2.9 percent margin of error.

Libertarian Cliff Hydra is the choice of 3 percent of the voters with 6 percent of respondents undecided.

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Northam, a pediatric neurologist,  is the choice of 83 percent of black voters and 38 percent of white voters, while Gillespie is the choice of 10 percent of black voters and 54 percent of white voters.

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Gillespie leads Northam with both Catholics, 52 percent v. 42 percent, and with Evangelical Christians, 73 percent v. 22 percent.

Fifty-one percent of men back Gillespie and 55 percent of women back Northam.

In the attorney general campaign, Attorney General Mark R. Herring leads GOP challenger John Adams with 47 percent to Adams’ 42 percent.

Kaplan said because the Virginia, New Jersey and New York City elections are held the year after a presidential election, there is the temptation to read greater meaning into results that are more often than not driven by local issues and circumstances.

Northam’s win will have no greater message regarding the future of President Donald J. Trump or his agenda, he said.

Thirty-seven percent of Virginia voters approve of the president’s job performance compared to 53 percent disapproving, he said.

“Many people still consider Virginia state a conservative state, but the state, or rather the commonwealth, has changed,” he said.

Former first lady Hillary R. Clinton won the state in 2016 by 6 percentage points and both its U.S. senators are Democrats, he said.

“Consider, too, that in an anti-establishment-era, the Republicans put up a former chairman of the Republican National Committee and lobbyist,” Kaplan said.

“The voters are smarter than politicians and their consultants give them credit,” he said. “The voters have picked up the conflicts that Gillespie is struggling with as he says he supports the president, but takes money from NeverTrumpers and is very careful to keep his distance from the president.”

The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phones users. The results are weighted to match a proprietary voter turnout model.

Check out the crosstabs from the Oct. 30 to Nov. 3 Big League-Gravis Virginia poll: 



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Big League Polls

Poll: Fake News Distorts Trump/Ukraine/Biden Controversy, But the Public Isn’t Buying It

A fake news reporter for the Washington Post laments that the propaganda isn’t working so well.



A majority of the U.S. public does not believe or does not know if President Donald Trump pressured the Ukrainian government to investigate former Vice President Joe Biden, according to a recent opinion poll conducted by Monmouth University.

Washington Post fake news hack Aaron Blake lamented about these findings, and the fact that a similar number of people feel that Biden pressured Ukrainian officials to drop an investigation of his son.

Blake released a whining tweet about the matter on Tuesday:

While Blake claims that the allegation about Trump has an “official rough transcript to support it,” the actual contents of the conversation never showed that any pressure took place. Trump simply asked the Ukraine to help investigate corruption, and assist him in his ongoing quest to drain the swamp.

“I would like you to find out what happened with this whole situation with Ukraine, they say Crowdstrike … I guess you have one of your wealthy people… The server, they say Ukraine has it,” Trump said to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

“There’s a lot of talk about Biden’s son, that Biden stopped the prosecution and a lot of people want to find out about that so whatever you can do with the Attorney General would be great. Biden went around bragging that he stopped the prosecution so if you can look into it … It sounds horrible to me,” Trump added.

“Since we have won the absolute majority in our Parliament, the next prosecutor general will be 100% my person, my candidate, who will be approved, by the parliament and will start as a new prosecutor in September,” Zelensky responded. “He or she will look into the situation, specifically to the company that you mentioned in this issue.”

“On top of that, I would kindly ask you if you have any additional information that you can provide to us, it would be very helpful for the investigation to make sure that we administer justice in our country,” Zelensky added.

“I will have Mr. Giuliani give you a call and I am also going to have Attorney General Barr call and we will get to the bottom of it,” Trump responded. “I’m sure you will figure it out. I heard the prosecutor was treated very badly and he was a very fair prosecutor so good luck with everything.”

At the same time, Blake has the nerve to say that it is a “highly speculative, dubious claim” that Biden used his power to influence the Ukrainian government to drop an investigation related to his son, Hunter, when he testified on video that he did it in 2016:

Big League Politics reported last week that additional documents have indicated that a wider conspiracy was hatched by Democratic Party operatives to prevent justice from occurring in the Ukraine:

Journalist John Solomon at The Hill obtained a sworn affidavit containing Shokin’s witness statement that was prepared for European court. In the document, Shokin claims he was told that the reason he was fired was due to Biden’s objections to his investigation over Burisma.

“The truth is that I was forced out because I was leading a wide-ranging corruption probe into Burisma Holdings, a natural gas firm active in Ukraine and Joe Biden’s son, Hunter Biden, was a member of the Board of Directors,” Shokin testified…

Solomon also pointed to documents he obtained from Burisma’s team of lawyers in America to back up Shokin’s testimony. The firm’s accounting records show that Burisma gave tens of thousands of dollars to Blue Star Strategies, a public relations and lobbying group that had Hunter Biden on its board.

Blue Star Strategies is run by former administration officials who served under President Bill Clinton, Karen Tramontano and Sally Painter. Painter had a meeting at the Ukrainian embassy in Washington D.C. where she lobbied to meet government officials in Ukraine.

“With regards to the meetings in Kiev, I suggest that you wait until the next week when there is an expected vote of the government’s reshuffle,” Ukrainian embassy employee Oksana Shulyar wrote in an email to Painter following the meeting.

Ukraine’s Washington embassy denies that talk of the “reshuffle” had anything to do with Shokin’s firing. Blue Star also paid a Ukrainian official who they asked for help in scheduling meetings with Ukraine’s prosecutors about the Burisma investigation, according to memos obtained by Solomon.

Blue Star also worked with criminal defense attorney John Buretta. Buretta helped set up a meeting with interim prosecutor Yuriy Sevruk with Tramontano and Painter. The trio apologized for a disinformation campaign that was circulating about Shokin, presumably as apart of the campaign to get him fired.

“They realized that the information disseminated in the U.S. was incorrect and that they would facilitate my visit to the U.S. for the purpose of delivering the true information to the State Department management,” a memo about the meeting stated.

The fake news is angry that they cannot spin away this scandal against the Democrats’ front-runner to challenge for the presidency in 2020, as Biden appears to be obviously guilty of the crimes that they are accusing Trump of committing.

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