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CRISIS: America has a Major Birth Rate Problem

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Ronald Bailey of Reason Magazine reported that American women are having less children.

He drew his piece from the latest report from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS).

“The general fertility rate was 58.2 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44, down 2 percent from 2018 to reach another record low for the United States,” according to initial NCHS birth data for 2019. “The total fertility rate (TFR) was 1,705.0 births per 1,000 women [1.705 births per woman] in 2019, down 1 percent from 2018 to reach another record low for the nation.”

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In 2019, the total number 0f births was 3,745,540, a 1 percent decline from 3,791,712 in 2018. The report noted that this is the fifth year that the number of births has declined after an uptick in 2014, and the lowest number of births since 1986.

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In 2019, the NCHS reported that U.S. TFR had declined to 1.73 births per woman which topped the previous U.S. fertility low point of 1.74 births per woman back in 1976. This number of births per woman is still below replacement. In other words, the level at which a given age segment can exactly replace itself is below the replacement average of 2.1 births per woman. Bailey noted that “The rate has generally been below replacement since 1971 and consistently below replacement since 2007.”

Furthermore, the NCHS revealed that births to teenage females between the ages of 15 and 19 also hit a record low of 16.6 births per 1,000 women. At the peak of the baby boom in the 1950s, births to teen mothers topped out at 96.3 per 1,000 women and then started to plummet. In the early 1990s, teen births briefly rose to 61.8 per 1,000 women, but have since plummeted by 75 percent.

Ronald Bailey provided a grim overview of the declining birth rates in the developed and developing world:

The U.S. TFR is now similar to that of many other countries, including those that make up the European Union (1.543), Australia (1.74), New Zealand (1.71), Japan (1.42), South Korea (0.977), Brazil (1.73), and China (1.69). This mirrors the decades long global trend of women choosing to bear ever fewer children over the course of their lifetimes. Global total fertility stood at more than five children per woman in 1964 and is well on its way toward below replacement levels, having now dropped to 2.415 children per woman as of 2018.

Given these facts, the U.S. will need to get a handle on immigration in order to avoid a demographic collapse. It will need to also reduce its military footprint abroad and scale back the welfare state as a means of freeing up funds to implement a paid leave program.

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Southern Baptist Convention Reverses Course on Name Change After BLP Reporting

They say they’re not changing their name.

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The Southern Baptist Convention has sought to dispel reporting from Big League Politics on the organization’s planned name change, arguing that the institution isn’t formally changing its name.

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But a close look at the American Christian church’s plans relating to its name reveal that it’s played with the idea far more seriously than they’re making it seem.

Reports of a name change first emerged in a Washington Post article published on Tuesday. SBC President JD Greear told the Post that “hundreds of churches” affiliated with the denomination had “committed” to using the phrase “Great Commission Baptist” as an alternative to the denomination’s longtime moniker. The change would come as Greear touts his support of the Black Lives Matter, although he’s been careful in pointing out he doesn’t support any formal organization related to the movement. Greear also is renaming the church he personally pastors with the term.

The SBC’s 2021 convention will also organize under the motto of “We Are Great Commission Baptists.” Sounds a lot like a name change, even if the SBC’s leadership is steadfastly maintaining it isn’t.

The name ‘Great Commission Baptist’ is theologically sound in the Christian religion, but it’s somewhat questionable that the organization’s leader appears to be emphasizing it at a moment in which political correctness is making its entryism into many Christian churches and organizations.

It seems as if the organization’s figurehead is keen to present himself as a liberal-style suburban Evangelical to the Washington Post, but he changed his tune quite quickly when the rank and file membership of Southern Baptist churches learned that he was promoting the idea of a name change.

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