In the famous Monty Python movie about the Holy Grail, the Black Knight, having his arm cut off by King Arthur, denies reality. When the King says “”Your arm’s off,” the Black Knight says, “No, it isn’t.” Despite the shocking and ongoing losses of Democrats in the political arena, the fake news media continues to offer an alternative universe worthy of the “Man in the High Castle.” Reality screams “You’re losing elections right and left,” but the Black Knight Democrats insist, “No we aren’t. It’s just a flesh wound.” This is actually very, very good. For the Left to continue to believe fake news can only slash away at their remaining power base even more.
During the campaign, we learned that Hillary Clinton relied disproportionately on public (to her, ridiculously favorable) polling—which of course was wrong. Trump’s administration marches on, undoing Barack Obama’s legacy faster than Scarlett Johansson can turn out new flops. The “alternative reality” media thinks a majority of Americans oppose Trump and produce polls showing he has low approval ratings. Remember, folks, these were the people who were off by seven points in Wisconsin, and the same polling organizations that all blew the election. These are the same pollsters who routinely asked for the “youngest voter in the home”(!!) Only two were accurate and they are seldom cited: People’s Pundit Daily showed Hillary with a 1.5% national edge but got the electoral college right, calling both Michigan and Pennsylvania, while Trafalgar also got Michigan and Pennsylvania right. So if these polls aren’t right, what is Trump’s approval rating?
Right now Rasmussen has him at 50%, but I think it’s a good 5-7% higher based on economic measures such as every high consumer sentiment indexes, right direction/wrong direction, and studies of business hiring expectations.
But if Democrats want to continue to believe the myth of Trump’s “low approval ratings,” they might want to look at the real and genuine approval ratings called elections. First in Kansas, then just Tuesday in Georgia, voters once again rejected Democrats. The Democrat candidate in GA06, Jon Ossoff, called his losing bid a “victory for the ages,” an astounding statement for someone who almost certainly will be kicked to the curb in the June general election, and who couldn’t win an election outright against 12 Republican candidates while spending $8 million on a House seat.
Diving just a little deeper, though, into the statistics of November and the first quarter of 2017, reasonable analysts might see a Democrat Stalingrad in any more of these “victories for the ages.” They and their fake news friends continue to harp on the November popular vote, which Hillary won thanks to California and New York. But let’s not play the Democrats’ game: those are (mostly) legitimate American voters and they did cast their ballots. We can’t ignore that. Neither can they ignore this: Donald Trump lost seven battleground states by fewer than 515,000 votes. Colorado, Maine (the whole state, not just CD1), Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, and Virginia fell to Clinton by about 510,000 votes. In fact, Richard Baris, pollster for PPD, found that on election day Trump won Minnesota outside of Minneapolis at the stunning ratio of 2:1, and would have carried the state entirely if not for the “Access Hollywood” tape.
As Joel Pollock and I reported in our book How Trump Won, the “half-full, half-empty”argument cuts both ways. Democrats could say they only lost the election by fewer than 200,000 votes in a handful of states. But if I’m a Republican strategist, I’m looking at a “flip factor” in those seven key states of a mere 265,000 votes changing that would give Trump an electoral vote of 356 in 2020, even if nothing else changes.
Why would Trump or any Republican look at this as “half full” though? Easy. Because from 2012 to 2016, the collapse of Democrat voter registrations in Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania—just to cite three states—were shocking. In 2016, in Cuyahoga County alone (Cleveland, the Democrat stronghold), Democrat losses/Republican gains came to almost 100,000. There is simply no way a Democrat can come close to winning Ohio starting out down 100,000 votes in Cuyahoga County. There’s more: Florida, especially in the red counties, saw strong Republican voter registration growth from 2012-2016, but in the first quarter of 2017,
Republican gains/Democrat losses in Florida came to +27,000 for the GOP. If this trend holds, Florida would again see a GOP voter registration lead by 2020.
Whether in registrations, elections, or non-poll public approval numbers, Trump and the Republicans are flicking off Democrats like fleas. The image of Hitler moving phantom divisions around on a map—units destroyed earlier in the war—comes to mind when observing the Democrats, their fake news media allies, and their claims of “victories for the ages.”
Larry Schweikart is the co-author of the #1 New York Times bestseller A Patriot’s History of the
United States with Michael Allen and the co-author of How Trump Won: The Inside Story of a
Revolution with Joel Pollak.
Rand Paul Warns Third Party Will Rise if Republican Senators Vote with Democrats to Convict President Trump
The GOP is crumbling.
Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) is warning that at least one-third of GOP senators will revolt and leave the party if Republicans join Democrats to convict the president.
This would potentially create the most viable third party in recent political history if Republican leadership is foolish enough to go down this path. Even though he refused to oppose the vote steal last week, Paul claims he and many of his colleagues intend to leave the party forever if the Senate goes through with impeachment.
“I didn’t agree with the fight that happened last week. I voted against over-turning the election,” Paul said while appearing on FOX News on Friday night. “But at the same time, the impeachment is a wrongheaded, partisan notion. If Republicans go along with it, it will destroy the party. A third of the Republicans will leave the party.”
“A third of the Republicans will leave the party,” Paul added. “This isn’t about, anymore, about the Electoral College, it’s about the future of the party, and whether you’re going to ostracize and excommunicate President Trump from the party. Well, guess what? Millions of his fans will leave as well.”
Paul made these responses after Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) publicly flirted with the idea of voting to convict President Trump.
“I have not made a final decision on how I will vote and I intend to listen to the legal arguments when they are presented to the Senate,” McConnell said.
Paul is putting McConnell and the rest of the GOP leadership on notice. This is the line in the sand as far as he is concerned.
“They will destroy the Republican Party. If leadership is complicit with an impeachment or if leadership votes for an impeachment, they will destroy the party,” Paul said.
“Like I say, I have opposed President Trump when I thought he was wrong, I’ve been for him when he was right. We did a lot of good things throughout the Trump presidency, and impeachment is purely a partisan thing,” he added.
The full segment with Paul and host Laura Ingraham can be seen here:
Big League Politics has reported on the division within the GOP since 10 Republican turncoats in the House join Democrats to impeach Trump for a second time:
Liz Cheney, daughter of Dick, was one of ten GOP House members to vote “yes” on President Donald Trump’s unprecedented second impeachment. Then when some were calling on Cheney to resign over her disgraceful vote, Dan Crenshaw, who voted against impeachment, quickly came to her defense and announced his “full support” for her.
“Let’s get some truth on the record: @Liz_Cheney has a hell of a lot more backbone than most, & is a principled leader with a fierce intellect,” Crenshaw tweeted Wednesday afternoon. “She will continue to be a much needed leader in the conference, with my full support.”
“We can disagree without tearing each other apart,” he added…
Cheney’s vote comes as no surprise. Big League Politics reported on her recent statement in support of Trump’s second impeachment, part of which read: “There has never been a greater betrayal by a President of the United States of his office and his oath to the Constitution. I will vote to impeach the President.” For this CNN laughably called her the “conscience of Republicans.”
The realignment that is happening within the conservative movement might result in the destruction of the Republican Party. President Trump may ultimately destroy the GOP swamp.
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