In a statement released on January 27, 2020, The American Association for Public Opinion Research urged pundits and journalists not to rush to judgement on the aftermath of the Iowa Democratic caucuses.
The organization tweeted, “The American Association for Public Opinion Research urges pundits and journalists not to rush to judgment on the performance of polls in the aftermath of the Iowa Democratic CaucusesRead our full statement https://www.aapor.org/Publications-Media/Public-Statements/The-Polls-and-the-Iowa-Caucuses.aspx”
The American Association for Public Opinion Research urges pundits and journalists not to rush to judgment on the performance of polls in the aftermath of the Iowa Democratic Caucuses
— American Association for Public Opinion Research (@AAPOR) February 3, 2020
This looks like an attempt to pre-emptively dismiss Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders’ expected victory in the 2020 Iowa Democrat Caucuses.
“The Democratic caucuses are not ‘just like’ a primary election. The results of the caucuses are more complex than a simple vote count,” said Nora Cate Schaeffer, the president of AAPOR.
“Judging how well the pre-caucus polls of Iowa Democrats have performed must wait until the final caucus results are in,” Schaeffer stated.
The political establishment is clearly in the tank for former Vice President Joe Biden.
Sanders has been leading in the Iowa polls and is expected to come out victorious by the end of Monday night.
If the Democrat party truly lived up to its name, it would respect the will of its voters and not use the media to craft misleading narratives that favor its pet candidates such as Biden.
Nevertheless, Bernie Sanders’ surge represents a growing radicalization within the Democratic Party that will likely not go away.
For 2020, Trump is the only presidential option that can at least be a stop-gap against the managerial state.
Will Josh Hawley be the Next Champion for an America First Foreign Policy?
America First May Have its Next Leader to End Wars Abroad
Does America First have a new non-interventionist champion?
Missouri Senator Josh Hawley has been viewed by many as one of the figures who could potentially lead a Trumpist movement after Trump, should Joe Biden end up being installed as president on January 2021.
Hawley has made a name for himself as a champion of Middle America and questioning the neoliberal orthodoxy on immigration and trade. Lately, Hawley has made a pivot towards questioning the interventionist conventional wisdom on foreign policy.
In early October of this year, the Missouri Senator called for the American government to withdraw troops from Afghanistan. Hawley tweeted, “Almost 20 years now in Afghanistan. Long past time to draw this war to an end.”
Hawley’s foreign policy has been a work progress over the past two years. During a 2019 speech Hawley gave at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), he questioned the nation-building policy prescriptions of previous administrations, demonstrating some degree of skepticism towards non-stop interventionism abroad on the part of the Senator.
That said, it remains to be seen if Hawley’s legislative record will fully match his rhetoric.
Hawley is a staunch China hawk, who fears the rise of China and is a strong voice against China’s expansionist efforts. Hawley’s track record shows that his foreign policy views are rough around the edges. Daniel Larison of The American Conservative is not as optimistic about Hawley judging by his votes on the Yemeni Civil War. Larison cited several of Hawley’s votes that may be cause for concern:
“Sen. Hawley voted against the Senate’s resolution of disapproval that opposed the president’s effort to circumvent Congress with a bogus “emergency” to expedite arms sales to Saudi Arabia and the UAE. More important, he voted with the president and most Senate Republicans against the antiwar Yemen resolution that would have cut off all U.S. support to the Saudi coalition.”
Nevertheless, Hawley’s comments on Afghanistan are a good sign that Hawley is catching on to the fact that Americans are tired of foreign wars. Politicians can change their views and behaviors. Hawley is likely recognizing that the America First movement is exhausted by the endless wars and wants candidates and elected officials who offer withdrawal plans.
— Josh Hawley (@HawleyMO) November 24, 2020
Journalist Glenn Greenwald, a fierce interventionist skeptic, maintained cautious optimism about Hawley. In a tweet, he commented, “All kinds of reasons to be skeptical of the authenticity here, but — purely as a matter of rhetoric — just imagine any national Republican speaking this way about a Dem administration even 10 years ago. The framework of politics is radically shifting.”
All kinds of reasons to be skeptical of the authenticity here, but — purely as a matter of rhetoric — just imagine any national Republican speaking this way about a Dem administration even 10 years ago. The framework of politics is radically shifting:https://t.co/0g3jpVPsDm
— Glenn Greenwald (@ggreenwald) November 24, 2020
The jury is still out on Hawley. Regardless of flaws in his voting record, America First advocates should continue to push him and other America First leaning Republicans in the right direction. We should never forget that politicians are still receptive to political pressure and the grassroots holds the keys to political change.
Young senators like Hawley are the future of American politics and it makes sense for foreign policy restrainers to lobby them and push them in a direction that favors non-interventionism.
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