Joe Biden shamelessly declared his total lack of sympathy for young Americans in January, openly stating that he had “no empathy” for the concerns of the nation’s youth.
Biden was promoting his book in an event with a Los Angeles Times journalist, and struck a tone that could be called completely callous about Millennial and Generation Z Americans.
“The younger generation now tells me how tough things are—give me a break. No, no, I have no empathy for it, give me a break.”
Biden went on to claim that Americans of previous generations were better at improving their life circumstances and “changing the world.” The former Vice President conveniently chose not to mention the far more generous economic circumstances enjoyed by those of his own generation, that included far more affordable costs of living, education, housing and better job prospects.
If Biden were to run a presidential campaign exclusively seeking to advance the interests of older Americans-writing off the youth of the United States as mere whiners- it could open a path for President Trump and other conservatives to widen their appeal to American youth. Tucker Carlson has spoken of policies that would enable the right wing to appeal to young Americans, including holding the handsomely debt-funded and left-wing university system accountable for a portion of the massive student loan debt incurred by young Americans.
It’s possible that the geriatric career politician could face a backlash in the Democratic Party for his callous slight to young people, a critical constituency on the left. Should Biden defeat President Trump in the 2020 election, he would be sworn in as the oldest President in American history at the beginning of his term, being a ripe 77 years old on inauguration day.
USC Experimental Model Polling Calculation Forecasts Donald Trump Election Victory
They’re accounting for what they call social desirability bias.
A polling method utilized by the University of Southern California’s Dornslife College is predicting that President Donald Trump will secure an electoral college victory, deviating from many polling models produced by corporate media in accounting for what they call a “social desirability bias.”
USC’s polling model seeks to account for what they’re citing as shy Trump supporters by asking poll respondents how they believe that those in their own immediatel social circles will vote. The theorists behind the poll argue that such a line of questioning allows respondents more inclined to disclose information to reveal how so-called shy Trump supporters will vote.
“To evaluate the potential impact of the shy voter belief on the responses of poll participants, we asked them three questions: What percent of their social contacts might be embarrassed to admit to pollsters their opinions about Trump or Biden, what percent might fear harassment if they admit these opinions, and what percent might want to obstruct polls by misreporting who they will vote for?
On average, our participants believe that people in their social circle might be more reluctant to admit their support for Trump than for Biden.”
When the presence of socially identified shy Trump voters is accounted for, the USC pollsters ultimately make a cautious prediction that Biden will fail to secure 270 electoral college votes.
“When we calculate how many electoral votes each candidate could get based on state level averages of the own-intention and social-circle questions, it’s looking like an Electoral College loss for Biden.”
Jim Key of USC points to previous correct predictions of the USC/Dornslife polling model in support of the method’s veracity. He argues that the polling organization correctly predicted the outcomes ofthe 2016 U.S. Presidential election, the 2017 French Presidential election, the 2017 Dutch Parliamentary election, the 2018 Swedish Parliamentary election, and the 2018 U.S. election for the House of Representatives.
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