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Campaign 2020

Joe Biden Surges in South Carolina, Florida, Throwing Wrench into Sanders’ Easy Victory

Biden might actually consolidate the ‘moderate’ lane after all.

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Joe Biden appears to be surging in the forthcoming Democratic primary state of South Carolina, throwing a wrench into what some have called an easy path to victory for frontrunner Bernie Sanders.

Biden has looked to South Carolina as a redoubt for his campaign after struggling mightily in the first three primary and caucus states. After Sanders’ resounding Nevada victory, he appeared set to challenge the former Vice President in the first southern state to vote, but the latest rounds of polling reveal that Biden has the state on lock.

A Monmouth University poll released Thursday showed Biden with a blowout lead of twenty percentage points in the Palmetto state. Biden has made appeal to African American voters a crucial element of his primary strategy, and the South Carolina polling suggests he’s retained strong support from black voters, even after his early campaign mishaps. African American voters form a majority of the state’s Democratic primary electorate.

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Sanders languishes in a distant second in the poll, trailing Biden by a margin of 36% to 16%. Other polling recently conducted shows Biden with a smaller lead, but Sanders is yet to take the lead in a South Carolina poll with two days before the election.

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New polling also shows the former Vice President retaking the lead in the Super Tuesday state of Florida, leading second-place Michael Bloomberg by a strong margin of nine percent. Sanders is all the way in third place in the Florida St. Pete poll, and such a finish in one of the first big states to vote after Super Tuesday would likely ensure that the Democratic Primary remains wide open.

Biden’s polling suggests that the career politician might actually have a chance to consolidate support from self-identifying ‘moderate’ Democrats, after competitors like Pete Buttigieg and Michael Bloomberg appeared set to eat his lunch.

 

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Campaign 2020

POLL: 15% of Sanders Supporters Plan to Vote For Donald Trump in November

They prefer Trump to an establishment Democrat.

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New polling from ABC suggests that Donald Trump is primed to win over a significant share of Bernie Sanders primary voters in the November general election, suggesting that some of Bernie’s Bros don’t intend to bend the knee to likely establishment Democratic nominee Joe Biden.

The poll reveals that 15% of self-identifying Bernie Sanders supporters already plan on voting for Trump in November. President Trump ultimately ended up winning the votes of 12% of 2016 Sanders supporters, suggesting he’s increased his appeal to the democratic socialist’s supporters.

Some centrist Democrats have expressed their personal distaste of Sanders(and some Gabbard) supporters on account of their perceived unwillingness to vote for the Democratic nominee, forgetting that it’s the obligation of American political candidates to win the votes of citizens who chose to support their opponents in primaries.

While Trump and Sanders are on opposite ends of the American political spectrum, they could be compared in a sense that they’re both considered political populists. Trump’s policy positions on trade, some foreign policy, and American manufacturing are closer to the Sanders’ views than Joe Biden’s reheated neoliberal political program.

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Perhaps even more significantly, the poll shows that Biden gauges the lowest ever recorded “enthusiasm level” for a Democratic Presidential nominee. A paltry 24% of likely Biden voters describe themselves as “very enthusiastic” to vote for him in November.

With a voter base that seems lethargic in an unprecedented fashion, it’s possible that Joe Biden could go down as the most “low energy” major Presidential candidate in recent American political history.

The poll’s general election survey reveals a tight contest between Biden and Trump, with the former Vice President leading within the margin of error by 49% to 47%. Trump’s polling has improved significantly in recent weeks in ABC’s surveys, in part because of high public approval of the federal response to the Chinese coronavirus epidemic.

Biden seems to have largely disappeared from the national conversation in the wake of the historical epidemic, only sparsely appearing on public broadcasts in bizarre gaffe-filled livestreams from a converted recreation room in his Delaware home.

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