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Campaign 2020

Julian Castro Is Running For President

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Former Democrat San Antonio mayor and Obama HUD Secretary Julian Castro is entering the 2020 presidential race Saturday in his hometown.

The Politico speculates that Nevada’s early primary could give Castro a boost, but California moving its primary up to March appears to favor that state’s senator Kamala Harris much more than Castro.

Castro recently pulled off the impressive feat of saying that troops should be pulled out of Syria while also criticizing President Trump’s handling of the hoped-for troop pullout.

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Castro will need some creativity to compete with other 2020 aspirants, who are trying to top each other with social media appeal as they flirt with running or outright declare their intentions.

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Elizabeth Warren flopped with her beer-toting announcement-day video, which came off stilted.

Texas congressman Beto O’Rourke went to the dentist.

Kamala Harris changed the “Dreamers Welcome Here” sign outside her Capitol Hill office to a Spanish-language sign.

But the Democrat trend-setter Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who declined Vox’s support for her to run for president in 2020, is driving the mainstream media meme-off.

 

 

Campaign 2020

Republican Voter Registration is Surging in Florida, Arizona, and Pennsylvania in the Runup to the November Election

This is even more important than polls.

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The Republican Party is handily registering more voters than Democrats in the critical swing states of Florida, Arizona, and Pennsylvania in the advance of the 2020 presidential election, a strong sign for the GOP in the competitive states.

Republicans have registered more than 135,000 voters to their party than Democrats have since 2016, a handy lead in a state in which the margin of victory was 44,000. Pennsylvania is probably the most critical state in the 2020 election.

Pennsylvania Republicans Outpacing Democrats in New Voter Registration By 135,000

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Republicans have registered a strong plurality of the new voters to register in Arizona since August, with 43% of these voters aligning as Republican. 26% have registered as Democrats, and 29% registered with no party affiliation or with another political party.

President Trump won the southwestern state by 4.5% in 2016, with rapid population growth and immigration turning Arizona into a purple state.

Republicans appear to be crushing Democrats in decisive fashion in the voter registration struggle in Florida, registering a whopping 41% more voters than the Democrat Party is in the state. The GOP registered 58,000 new Republican voters in August alone, a 91% increase when compared to August of 2016. Leading Democrats have even been sounding the alarm in the state, having lost it in 2016 with a far greater numerical voting lead then they’ll have this time.

The Joe Biden campaign has largely refrained from traditional political activism and door-knocking in the state, preferring to let their candidate speak through appearances on Sunday shows and softball interviews.

If the President wins these three states, he’s in an extremely strong position for victory, even if Biden wins Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. He’d need to hold North Carolina and Ohio to end up with 274 electoral college votes in this scenario.

These statistics are more pertinent than polls with highly questionable methodologies and flawed participant selection methods.

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