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Campaign 2020

Kirsten Gillibrand Announces Presidential Campaign, Breaking Senate Pledge

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Democratic New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand became the latest Democrat to announce a campaign for President in 2020 on Tuesday.

However it seems that this will come as a surprise to many of the New York voters who elected her to another Senate term in November- as Gillibrand had plainly stated that she was going to serve a full six-year term during the 2018 election.

When asked by a moderator during a campaign debate for New York’s 2018 U.S Senate election if she would “get out of the race, not run for President, and you will serve your six year term,” Gillibrand plainly stated that she would “serve her six year term.” This pledge during a campaign event was merely three months ago- an outright and red-handed lie to New York voters, if not a convenient and equally dishonest “change of heart” on the part of the New York senator.

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Several progressive commentators expressed their doubt that Gillibrand’s pledge to serve a six-year term in the Senate was ever genuine, merely serving as a rhetorical tool to secure the support of New York’s mostly left-leaning voter base.

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Gillibrand is known for her close ties to Wall Street and the billionaire donor class of the Democratic Party. Some Democrats and progressives remain irritated with her role in the resignation of former Minnesota Senator Al Franken, who was accused of sexual misconduct. Her insistence on Franken’s resignation- who remains a popular figure in many left-leaning circles- could pose a road block for the prospects of her already dubious presidential campaign.

Gillibrand became a source of controversy when she claimed that the future of the United States was explicitly “female,” as if Americans of both genders no longer had a place in an “intersectional” vision of the country’s future. She’s been labeled by many progressives as the quintessential “corporate feminist,” representing the union of socially “progressive” and big business interests.

As of Wednesday morning, the lack of enthusiasm for Gillibrand’s entry into the increasingly crowded Democratic primary seemed clearly indicated by a surprisingly potent “ratio” in response to her tweet announcing the move. As of Wednesday morning, it’s received a grand total of twenty-one retweets, and more than 1,400 responses- mostly from progressives incensed by the presidential campaign of a Democrat they see as beholden to elite donor interests and hostile to insurgent movements with the party.

Campaign 2020

Republican Voter Registration is Surging in Florida, Arizona, and Pennsylvania in the Runup to the November Election

This is even more important than polls.

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The Republican Party is handily registering more voters than Democrats in the critical swing states of Florida, Arizona, and Pennsylvania in the advance of the 2020 presidential election, a strong sign for the GOP in the competitive states.

Republicans have registered more than 135,000 voters to their party than Democrats have since 2016, a handy lead in a state in which the margin of victory was 44,000. Pennsylvania is probably the most critical state in the 2020 election.

Pennsylvania Republicans Outpacing Democrats in New Voter Registration By 135,000

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Republicans have registered a strong plurality of the new voters to register in Arizona since August, with 43% of these voters aligning as Republican. 26% have registered as Democrats, and 29% registered with no party affiliation or with another political party.

President Trump won the southwestern state by 4.5% in 2016, with rapid population growth and immigration turning Arizona into a purple state.

Republicans appear to be crushing Democrats in decisive fashion in the voter registration struggle in Florida, registering a whopping 41% more voters than the Democrat Party is in the state. The GOP registered 58,000 new Republican voters in August alone, a 91% increase when compared to August of 2016. Leading Democrats have even been sounding the alarm in the state, having lost it in 2016 with a far greater numerical voting lead then they’ll have this time.

The Joe Biden campaign has largely refrained from traditional political activism and door-knocking in the state, preferring to let their candidate speak through appearances on Sunday shows and softball interviews.

If the President wins these three states, he’s in an extremely strong position for victory, even if Biden wins Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. He’d need to hold North Carolina and Ohio to end up with 274 electoral college votes in this scenario.

These statistics are more pertinent than polls with highly questionable methodologies and flawed participant selection methods.

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