2018 Midterms
New York Times Poll Says Republicans Surging, Up Double Digits in TN and TX
A Tuesday New York Times poll of Congressional races has Republicans in the lead ahead of the Nov. 6 midterm elections.
According to the poll, Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-Tenn.) leads former Tennessee governor Phil Bredesen in their Senate battle by a 14 point margin. It also shows incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) leading challenger Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke by a 12 point margin. In Nevada, a bona fide battleground state, incumbent Republican Sen. Dean Heller is leading Rep. Jackie Rosen (D-Nev.).
First results of @UpshotNYT/@SienaResearch Poll:#TNsen:
Blackburn (R) 54 (+14)
Bredesen (D) 40
(120 LV)#TXsen:
Cruz (R – Inc) 54 (+12)
O’Rourke (D) 42
(200 LV)#NVsen:
Heller (R – inc) 48 (+3)
Rosen (D) 45
(212 LV)https://t.co/056GPn74cO— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 9, 2018
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The polling also shows Republican candidates for the U.S. House leading in states like Pennsylvania, Ohio and North Carolina, which are typically hard-fought races in districts that can swing either left or right.
For example, the poll shows incumbent Rep. Mike Kelly (R-Pa.) leading Democrat challenger Ron DiNicola by an eight point margin in Pennsylvania’s 16th Congressional District.
In North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District, incumbent Rep. Ted Bud (R-N.C.) leads challenger Kathy Manning, funded by Silicon Valley, by a modest six points.
Incumbent Rep. Steve Chabot (R-Ohio) leads challenger Aftab Pureval outside the margin of error, in Ohio’s 1st Congressional District, according to the poll.
“Our poll is a good result for Republicans. It’s just one poll, though,” the paper reassuringly told its leftist readers of the Ohio race.
The poll also shows Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District, billed as one of the Democrats’ most vulnerable seats, essentially tied. Former State Rep. Joe Radinovich, a Democrat, has a meager one point lead over Republican city commissioner Pete Stauber.
The Times’ poll was released in the midst of Democrats vowing vengeance at the voting booth over the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.
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