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Campaign 2020

POLL: 40% of Democrats Under 45 Want Biden Replaced as Party Nominee

Biden is weak among young voters.

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New polling from Morning Consult shows that 40% of Democrats under the age of 45 want presumptive nominee Joe Biden replaced as the party’s presidential candidate, revealing the former Vice President to be exceptionally weak with young voters for a Democrat.

The poll was published on Monday, surveyed 737 national Democratic voters. The poll respondents were shown a video of Biden’s denial of Tara Reade’s sexual assault allegations, a former staffer who claims that the former Delaware Senator sexually harassed and assaulted her in 1993.

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61% of Democratic voters went on to say that they find Biden’s denial of the allegations credible, and 20% say they don’t know. However, a combined 21% of female Democrats find the denial either not credible or not that credible. 23% of Democrats under 45 express similar sentiment, and the same amount say they don’t know about the credibility of Biden’s allegations.

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The polling also goes on to show that the general public has become more broadly skeptical of sexual misconduct claims against public figures and elected officials. Voters were asked if public officials accused of misconduct should resign in both December 2017 and May 2020, and the percentage who answered ‘yes’ declined from 56% to 38%. This change in sentiment is seen among Democrats, Independents, and Republicans.

If there is a critical takeaway from the allegations against Joe Biden, it’s that Democrats and liberals may have rediscovered a liking for due process and presumption of innocence. However, the sizable contingent of younger and female voters who view the allegations as credible may prove an electoral thorn to the Democratic nominee.

Campaign 2020

POLL: President Donald Trump Leads Joe Biden Nationally, 48% to 46%

The President has come roaring back.

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A new poll conducted by British newspaper the Sunday Express in conjunction with the Democracy Institute reveals that President Donald Trump is leading Democratic challenger Joe Biden by a margin of 48% to 46%. The national poll was conducted last week.

Perhaps more significantly, the poll reveals that President Trump is handily leading Biden in the most crucial of swing states, leading with voters in the states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by a handy margin of 48% to 43%. If such polls translate to election day victory margins, President Trump could secure an even greater election night victory than he did in 2016, taking 309 votes in the electoral college by flipping Minnesota red.

Democracy Institute Director Patrick Basham claims that the poll’s methodology accounts for a population of ‘shy’ Trump supporters who are reluctant to respond to polls from corporate mainstream media networks. The poll shows a wide enthusiasm gap in the President’s favor, but Basham claims that 71% of planned Trump supporters are cautionary about revealing that they publicly support the President’s campaign for re-election.

Voters describe the economy as the most important issue in the election, with coronavirus containment coming in second. A majority of voters currently disapprove of President Trump’s coronavirus response in the poll, suggesting the President has room to grow his base of support by making progress in halting the coronavirus pandemic.

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RIOTS: Who do you blame for the violence on America's streets?

  • RIOTS: Who do you blame for the violence on America's streets?

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Completing this poll grants you access to Big League Politics updates free of charge. You may opt out at anytime. You also agree to this site's Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.

The poll is the latest suggesting that the presidential election is far more competitive than methodologically challenged polls from corporate media outlets suggest.

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