POLL: President Donald Trump Leads Joe Biden Nationally, 48% to 46%

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Aug 3, 2020

A new poll conducted by British newspaper the Sunday Express in conjunction with the Democracy Institute reveals that President Donald Trump is leading Democratic challenger Joe Biden by a margin of 48% to 46%. The national poll was conducted last week.

Perhaps more significantly, the poll reveals that President Trump is handily leading Biden in the most crucial of swing states, leading with voters in the states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by a handy margin of 48% to 43%. If such polls translate to election day victory margins, President Trump could secure an even greater election night victory than he did in 2016, taking 309 votes in the electoral college by flipping Minnesota red.

Democracy Institute Director Patrick Basham claims that the poll’s methodology accounts for a population of ‘shy’ Trump supporters who are reluctant to respond to polls from corporate mainstream media networks. The poll shows a wide enthusiasm gap in the President’s favor, but Basham claims that 71% of planned Trump supporters are cautionary about revealing that they publicly support the President’s campaign for re-election.

Voters describe the economy as the most important issue in the election, with coronavirus containment coming in second. A majority of voters currently disapprove of President Trump’s coronavirus response in the poll, suggesting the President has room to grow his base of support by making progress in halting the coronavirus pandemic.

The poll is the latest suggesting that the presidential election is far more competitive than methodologically challenged polls from corporate media outlets suggest.