POLL: Trump Dominates Republican Challengers in 2024

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May 18, 2023

As the 2024 presidential primaries draw closer, former President Donald Trump holds an enviable lead over his challengers in the Republican Party.  

Per a Rasmussen poll that was published on May 17, 2023, 62% of likely Republican voters indicated that they would vote for former President Donald Trump in the primaries, whereas only 17% indicated that they would vote for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. 

His other challengers such as former Vice President Mike Pence (6%), former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley (5%), former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson (3%) and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy (2%) are well behind Trump in the polls. 

65% of all likely US voters indicated that it’s at least somewhat likely they’ll vote in the 2024 Republican primaries, which includes 52% who said it’s very likely they’ll vote in the 2024 GOP primaries.

Among voters who indicated that it is very likely they’ll vote in the 2024 Republican primaries, Trump’s lead is somewhat thinner – 53% to 18% for DeSantis, which was then followed up by Pence (4%), Haley (4%), Hutchinson (3%) and Ramaswamy.

Among all likely voters, which includes Democrats and voters not independent voters, Trump has  37% support. By contrast, DeSantis has 14% support, followed by Pence (6%), Haley (6%), Hutchinson (5%) and Ramaswamy (2%), with 18% favoring some other candidate in the 2024 GOP primaries.

Among all likely voters, Trump has the support of 38% of white voters, 25% of black voters, and 41% of other non-black minorities. 69% of whites, 50% of black voters, and 61% of other non-black minorities say they are at least somewhat likely to cast ballots in the 2024 Republican primaries.

72% of self-identified conservatives indicated that they are very likely to vote in the 2024 GOP primaries. 55% of conservative voters indicated that they would pull the lever for Trump, whereas 21% would vote for DeSantis, followed by Pence (6%), Haley (4%) and two percent (2%) for both Hutchinson and Ramaswamy, respectively.

57% of voters making between $30,000 and $50,000 annually said they are very likely to vote in the 2024 Republican primaries, compared to 44% of individuals with annual incomes north of $200,000.

No matter what the establishment GOP pundits say, the Republican Party is still Donald Trump’s party. The populist movement, which promotes immigration restriction and a restrained foreign policy, is not going away anytime soon. Other GOP challengers will have to come to grips with this reality if they want to compete against the likes of Trump, let alone win a national election.

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