Texas, Florida Stand to Gain US House Seats From Census – New York, California Will Lose Seats
Red-leaning Sun Belt states stand to gain seats in the House of Representatives from the 2020 US Census, whereas California, New York, and Rust Belt states stand to lose at least one seat in the lower chamber of Congress.
Election Data Services Analysis of the Census Bureau has projected pending changes to congressional delegations from its outstanding Census Data. Seats in the House of Representatives are determined relative to a state’s population.
Texas is easily the biggest winner of the Census takeaway, with the Lone Star State standing to receive a whopping three new members of Congress in 2022. Florida comes in second place, receiving two.
New York sadly stands to lose two seats in the House, a development that comes as the Empire State leads the nation in population decline, fueled by an exodus of the middle class tax base and a devastating outbreak of the coronavirus.
The left-wing Democrat approach of governance appears to be paying off in California, as well, with the once seemingly endlessly dynamic state standing to lose a seat. California’s population did not decline in 2020, but it incurred its lowest growth in population since the year 1900, with major businesses and the middle class fleeing a troubled state some have likened to to a Venezuela-style homeless encampment.
Politically, the states that stand to lose seats in the 118th Congress lean Democrat, whereas the big winners voted for Donald Trump in the 2020 Presidential election. Ohio and West Virginia are the only two red states that stand to lose one House seat each, with eight others losing seats going to Biden. Of the states that are gaining seats, four are Republican and three are Democrat- with Florida and Texas both gaining more than one seat.
Not every state that stands to lose a seat declined in population. States such as Pennsylvania and Ohio have increased in population, while not growing as fast as the rest of the country.
Losing a congressional seat can send state politics into a tailspin, with current US representatives jockeying and in some cases running in primaries against one another in hopes of hanging on to territory that was once their former constituency.