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USC Experimental Model Polling Calculation Forecasts Donald Trump Election Victory

They’re accounting for what they call social desirability bias.

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A polling method utilized by the University of Southern California’s Dornslife College is predicting that President Donald Trump will secure an electoral college victory, deviating from many polling models produced by corporate media in accounting for what they call a “social desirability bias.”

USC’s polling model seeks to account for what they’re citing as shy Trump supporters by asking poll respondents how they believe that those in their own immediatel social circles will vote. The theorists behind the poll argue that such a line of questioning allows respondents more inclined to disclose information to reveal how so-called shy Trump supporters will vote.

“To evaluate the potential impact of the shy voter belief on the responses of poll participants, we asked them three questions: What percent of their social contacts might be embarrassed to admit to pollsters their opinions about Trump or Biden, what percent might fear harassment if they admit these opinions, and what percent might want to obstruct polls by misreporting who they will vote for?

Trending: Disgusting Detroit Democrat Who Harassed Whistleblowers at Vote Steal Hearing Wants Show Trials for Trump Supporters

On average, our participants believe that people in their social circle might be more reluctant to admit their support for Trump than for Biden.

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When the presence of socially identified shy Trump voters is accounted for, the USC pollsters ultimately make a cautious prediction that Biden will fail to secure 270 electoral college votes.

When we calculate how many electoral votes each candidate could get based on state level averages of the own-intention and social-circle questions, it’s looking like an Electoral College loss for Biden.

Read the entire USC/Dornslife prediction of the 2020 election, how they account for shy Trump supporters, and what they’re defining as social desirability bias here.

Jim Key of USC points to previous correct predictions of the USC/Dornslife polling model in support of the method’s veracity. He argues that the polling organization correctly predicted the outcomes ofthe  2016 U.S. Presidential election, the 2017 French Presidential election, the 2017 Dutch Parliamentary election, the 2018 Swedish Parliamentary election, and the 2018 U.S. election for the House of Representatives.

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CAUGHT ON TAPE: Four Georgia Poll Workers Appear to Pull Out and Count Suitcases of Ballots Hidden Under Table AFTER Sending Poll Watchers Home

Stunning footage from the Peach State.

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Shocking footage from Thursday’s Georgia Senate Hearing on Election Integrity appears to show poll workers pulling out and counting suitcases of ballots hidden under a table after everyone else had been sent home for the night.

The footage was caught on security camera at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. Poll workers cleared the room around 10:30pm, with Republican poll watchers and a Fox News crew being the last to leave. Those who left were under the impression that counting was finished for the night and that they could return at 8:30am the next day, according to sworn affidavits.

Four poll workers, however, stayed behind. At 11:00pm, after a half-hour of sitting and biding time, they can be seen pulling out four suitcases containing uncounted ballots from underneath a table. The table in question was placed there at 8:22am on Election Day by a woman wearing her blonde hair in braids—the same woman who told everyone to leave at 10:30pm.

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Two witnesses actually found out from the press a couple hours later that the four poll workers had not left and were still counting. They returned to State Farm Arena between 1:30 and 1:45am, though the poll workers had completed counting and scanning those hidden ballots around 1:00am.

Interestingly enough, State Farm Arena was also the place where the false flag “burst pipe” occurred.

Watch live footage of the Georgia Senate Hearing below:

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