A new study from Yale University said that the number of illegal aliens in the United States is just over 22 million.
“The results of our analysis are clear: The number of undocumented immigrants in the United States is estimated to be substantially larger than has been appreciated at least in widely accepted previous estimates,” said the study. “The mean of our simulations, which range over more standard but still conservative parameter values, is 22.1 million, essentially twice the current widely accepted estimate.”
This number contradicts the widely cited figure of 11 million illegals, which was from a Pew Research study in 2006. Those who have been paying close attention to the immigration crisis in America have noted that about one million illegal aliens have been consistently arriving in the United States every year since the 2006 Pew study.
Simple arithmetic has allowed these keen observers to estimate that the number of illegals in the United States today is likely somewhere in the neighborhood of 25 million. The pundits who have made this claim, most right-wingers like Tucker Carlson and Ann Coulter, have been widely mocked. It seems that the Yale study vindicated them.
“Our results lead us to the conclusion that the widely accepted estimate of 11.3 million undocumented immigrants in the United States is too small,” the study said. “Our model estimates indicate that the true number is likely to be larger, with an estimated ninety-five percent probability interval ranging from 16.2 to 29.5 million undocumented immigrants.”
Yale ran 1,000,000 trials simulating the model, which the study insists is based on conservative inflows.
“First, we generate what we call our conservative estimate, using parameter values that intentionally underestimate population inflows and overestimate population outflows, leading to estimates that will tend to underestimate the number of undocumented immigrants. Our conservative estimate for 2016 is 16.7 million, well above the estimate that is most widely accepted at present, which is for 2015 but should be comparable,” according to the study.
Yale is not exactly a bastion of conservatism, adding to the credibility of the study. In fact, of Yale’s freshman class, more students identified themselves as being on the LGBT spectrum than as conservative.
With a new and credible estimate of the illegal population in hand, it is time for American politicians and open borders leftists to take our illegal immigration problem seriously.
Meanwhile in Mexico…9 People Killed At a Wake in the State of Guanajuato
America must bolster its border security.
The Independent reported that gunmen killed nine people at a wake in the central Mexican state of Guanajuato on January 7, 2020.
Law enforcement officials in the city of Celaya revealed in a statement that gunmen showed up late that night and began firing on a group of people. The event was held in an impoverished neighborhood where residents mourned a young man who fell to gun fire a few days prior.
According to David Saucedo, a security analyst based in Guanajuato, the Jalisco New Generation Cartel carried out the attack against the deceased man’s family. The gunmen believed that the family was connected to the competing Santa Rosa de Lima gang, although many may not have connections with the gang.
“At that wake, a lot of innocent people died,” Saucedo observed.
Guanajuato is a flashpoint for a violent proxy war between major drug cartels. Since 2017, the Santa Rosa de Lima gang has fended off the fast-rising Jalisco cartel in a bloody turf war. Although law enforcement arrested the leader of the Santa Rosa de Lima gang back in August, the violence has not gone away According to Saucedo, the Sinaloa cartel has intervened in this struggle to keep the Jalisco cartel from securing a foothold in Guanajuato. They’ve sent weapons, financial aid, and gunmen to prop up Santa Rosa de Lima and other local gangs.
With so much drama taking place stateside, we often forget that Mexico is a failed state. Similarly, the outrage stemming from the Wuhan virus pandemic largely overshadowed issues of border security and immigration. However, this should not lessen the importance of the immigration issue.
As Mexico continues tearing itself apart, America must bolster its border security. Unfortunately, the incoming President Joe Biden is not up to task and will prioritize weak border enforcement and a potential amnesty for illegal aliens. America will suffer greatly as a result.
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