Voter registration data post November has not been kind to Democrats. Forget the four special election losses. The longer term trend—despite the futility and weakness of the Republican Congress—has the Democrats trending toward obsolescence in the battleground states.
Since November, many states have been cleaning up voter rolls (a common occurrence) so totals for both parties have fallen in several states. This is nothing unusual. But the direction of the change and the size of it are instructive. Oh, and it’s worth noting that a recent PRRI survey of white voters found that “party affiliation” was the single best predictor of a Trump vote. In other words, these aren’t just “Republican” voters, but rather statistics tell us that more than 93% of them would be Trump voters.
I’ve been providing running updates and this week we have new numbers for Florida, New Hampshire, and New Mexico. Trump lost the latter two while winning 306 votes in the electoral college. Clinton carried New Hampshire by 2,736 votes (with Gary Johnson siphoning off 30,694 additional votes). Since November, however, both parties lost registrations—but Democrats lost 7,000 more in this Republican state. Still think a Democrat can win New Hampshire? Especially with no Johnson on the ticket? Think again.
In New Mexico, the margin was greater (it’s a Democrat state): 65,000 votes, with, again, Johnson taking 74,500, or more than enough to win if they had voted Republican. Since November? Republicans have seen a net gain of 10,000. Not enough yet to win, but, absent a strong third party candidate, very close.
Florida, the only one of the three states Trump won in November, Trump won fairly decisively—by 112,911 votes. There was no Gary Johnson on the ballot in Florida to save Hillary. But today? Republicans have seen a net gain of 49,000 since November against Democrats. That means that as of July 2017, Trump would win the Sunshine State by over 160,000 votes. Moreover, the margin has grown every month, indicating a trend in Florida toward Republicans of about 8,000 net gain per month. That means that by 2020, Republicans would be an outright majority in Florida.
Previously I have posted voter registration statistics on AZ, CO, DE, IA, ME, NC, NH, NJ, OR, and CA. Only in Colorado, Oregon, and California have Democrats seen net gains since November. But Trump lost all three (only Colorado seen as a real “battleground”) and California is so “out of play” that it doesn’t factor into any real strategic analysis. Pennsylvania, on the other hand, has seen a steady shift over 104,000 to the GOP; IA some 2,000: and Arizona (where both parties are gaining voters) nearly 10,000 more than the Democrats. In other words, Republicans have seen net gains in all but two of the battleground states for which we have voter registration data since the election. In no state where Trump won has there been any GOP slippage at all. Quite the contrary, as of today he’d win 306 electoral votes again, as well as New Hampshire and most likely Minnesota. (That state does not register by party, but the narrow victory by Clinton was won despite Trump carrying all non-Minny/St.Paul precincts by 2:1 on election day. And, again, Johnson played a role. While Democrats can take solace that they are “holding” blue Oregon and recently-blue Colorado, and that California is as locked in as a state can possibly get (with a net gain for Democrats since November of one million!), they are losing the rest of the country. Even blue states such as Maryland, New Jersey, and Delaware are seeing the Democrats’ edge shaved. And in places such as Rhode Island, Hillary saw a phenomenal drop-off from Obama’s 2012 totals.
As I’ve repeatedly said, based on the performance of Congress, there is only one interpretation to the meaning of these registrations: these are Trump voters, pure and simple. The only chance Democrats will have in 2020 in some of these states is to find a compelling third party candidate who can erode that “party identification” factor. Otherwise, in large swaths of the country the Democrats are trending to extinction.
President Trump Says ‘This Election was Rigged and We Can’t Let That Happen’ at Pennsylvania Vote Fraud Hearing
Trump is still very much in this fight.
President Donald Trump remotely addressed a hearing before the Pennsylvania State Senate in which he called in to give testimony.
“This was an election that we won easily. We won it by a lot,” he said to massive applause from the audience.
“An official was on this morning, on an important show, and said there was no way Trump didn’t win Pennsylvania because the energy industry was all for him. I saw with my eyes what happened, and he told me horror stories, absolute horror stories,” Trump continued. “So, this was a, very sad to say it, this election was rigged and we can’t let that happen.”
Trump continued on to make his case that the election was a sham and needs to be overturned to save the Republic.
“Anybody watching television the night of the election was saying, “wow, I was called by the biggest political people, congratulations, sir,” on a big win, and all of a sudden ballots were dumped all over the place and a lot of horrible things happened,” Trump said.
“I want to thank all of the people who signed affidavits and all of the speakers. You’re fantastic people. You’re great patriots,” he continued.
“Between the voter suppression and all of the horrible things that happened to poll watchers. We have poll watcher affidavits piled up to the ceiling. They’re all over. They were treated horribly,” Trump added.
The president described the regime of terror that was instituted against Republican poll watchers, who he said were treated like “dogs” by the Democrat riggers.
“This is not the United States of America what happened. I think everybody knows it,” he said.
Trump’s full comments can be seen here:
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 25, 2020
Big League Politics reported earlier today about other encouraging developments in Pennsylvania, as a federal judge blocked the certification of the state’s dubious election results:
Patricia McCullough, a Commonwealth Court of Pennsylvania judge, has blocked Pennsylvania officials from certifying the state’s election results.
The order came Wednesday and will delay certification until the court holds an evidentiary hearing on Friday, November 27.
The PDF of Judge McCullough’s order can be read HERE.
“To the extent that there remains any further action to perfect the certification of the results of the 2020 General Election for the offices of President and Vice President of the United States of America, respondents are preliminarily enjoined from doing so, pending an evidentiary hearing to be held on Friday,” Judge McCullough wrote. “Respondents are preliminarily enjoined from certifying the remaining results of the election, pending the evidentiary hearing.”
This comes on the heels of a lawsuit filed by Republicans against the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, Governor Tom Wolf (D), Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar (D), and the Pennsylvania General Assembly. It alleges that Act 77, the state’s mail-in voting law, is unconstitutional…
The introduction says: “Act 77 is the most expansive and fundamental change to the Pennsylvania voting code, implemented illegally, to date. Under the Act, and the mail-in ballot scheme it implements, any and all qualified electors are eligible to vote by mail, and no justification needs to be provided. As with prior historical attempts to illegally expand mail-in voting by statute, which have been struck down going as far back as the Military Absentee Ballot Act of 1839, Act 77 is another illegal attempt to override the limitations on absentee voting prescribed in the Pennsylvania Constitution, without first following the necessary procedure to amend the constitution to allow for the expansion.”
The Kraken is finally being released, and the electoral fraudsters cannot be happy about the implications of this information being known to the public.
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