New Poll: Democrats Lose Ground With Black & Hispanic Voters After Shutdown Fallout
BLP Staff
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A new national poll shows Democrats bleeding support among Black and Hispanic voters in the wake of the historic 43-day federal shutdown — a warning sign for the Left and a major boost for President Trump’s growing populist coalition heading into 2026.
According to the latest numbers from the Centennial Research Group, support for Democratic congressional candidates among Black voters has dropped nine pointssince mid-September, while Hispanic support has slipped seven points. Republican candidates — especially those aligned with America First priorities — gained between 5–8 points across both demographic groups.
The polling firm cites one overwhelming factor: fury over the shutdown’s fallout, which hit working-class communities harder than the Beltway class that engineered it.
Shutdown Pain Exposes Democrat Priorities
But while minority communities endured the consequences, Democrat leaders in Washington downplayed the crisis, insisting that the shutdown “was worth it” to protect their own political leverage.
That message landed poorly.
Centennial’s polling director noted that 54% of Black voters and 49% of Hispanic voters said Democrats ‘put politics ahead of people’ during the shutdown, compared to just 22% who blamed Republicans.
Trump’s America First Messaging Resonates
Several issues stand out:
- Economic stability: A majority of Black and Hispanic voters now say Republicans are more trusted to “restore normalcy” and prevent future crises.
- Border security: Hispanic support for stronger immigration enforcement rose 11 points after reports that illegal crossings persisted during the shutdown.
- Crime: Trump’s call for a national crackdown on cartel trafficking polls especially strong in urban and border-adjacent districts.
The poll also found that Trump himself now sits at 38% favorability among Black voters and 48% with Hispanics, numbers that would have been unthinkable a decade ago.
Political Realignment Accelerates
Meanwhile, America First candidates see confirmation of a broader political realignment already underway since 2016: a populist, multiracial, patriotic coalition united by economic nationalism, strong borders, and a rejection of elite cultural radicalism.
As one Republican strategist told Big League Politics, “Black voters, Hispanic voters — working-class Americans of every background — are fed up with Democrat failures. The coalition is shifting in real time. Anyone who can’t see it is living in 2008.”
With the 2026 midterms looming and control of Congress at stake, this latest polling suggests the Left’s grip on key voting blocs is loosening — and the America First movement is poised to capitalize.
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