POLL: Real Clear Politics Shows a Tightening Race in Pennsylvania

Jose Nino   |  

Oct 28, 2020

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Pennsylvania is going to be one of the most important battleground states in the 2020 election.

Many pundits have described it as a potential “tipping point” state, that could propel both candidates — Donald Trump and Joe Biden — to victory should they win it this election cycle.

According to recent polls, the Pennsylvania race has only tightened down the home stretch. As of October 27, 2020, Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden leads Trump 49.6 at 45.8 on the RealClear Politics poll for Pennsylvania.

Back inn July 28, 2020 Biden was leading Trump 49.4 to 43.1. Although the former Vice President still maintains the lead, there is a clear sign that Trump is catching up following a final debate where some of Biden’s weaknesses were exposed following a controversial comment on natural gas.

President Donald Trump won Pennsylvania by 0.4 points in 2016, after polls had failed Democrat presidential candidate Hilary Clinton leading by 1.9 points right before the election. This, along with Trump’s pickups in Michigan and Wisconsin, marked a major breakthrough for Republicans and showed the power of Trump’s America First nationalist message.

Now, we’re back in the home stretch. Biden has already made major gaffes by calling Trump supporters “chumps” and even explicitly calling for the end to regular oil production. Trump must capitalize on these mistakes and re-emphasize his successes against China regarding tariffs.

Pennsylvania voters don’t need to hear about the wonders of tax cuts but rather about the nationalist policy set Trump has to offer on issues of trade, immigration, and natural gas sector production. Trump has spent significant time campaigning in Pennsylvania, knowing full well that this state may determine the outcome of the entire race.

He should be focusing on the Keystone state and other Midwest states he flipped so that he can cruise on to victory by even more comfortable margins that he did in 2016.