Democrats may think they’ve won something Tuesday night.
Oh don’t get me wrong, control of the House is better than not having control of the House. But they are about to be hit with the “McCain” problem and don’t realize it yet.
When control of a body is close—and 25 votes in the House is close—real power no longer resides with the majority, but with the tiny minority who can derail votes by either sitting them out or siding with the other side. Remember the Senate vote on Obamacare repeal? Remember John McCain’s “thumbs down?”
Or how about the vote on then Judge Brett Kavanaugh when it came down to the final confirmation? It all eventually hinged on a dispeptic, bitter, alienated Arizona loser and an out-of-the-mainstream Republican liberal. Yes, they made the right decisions, but it should never come to that with a “majority.”
The Democrats are about to learn there is a spider in their birthday cake. I cannot tell you the characteristics of this spider—whether it is the far-left lunatic fringe of the Democrat Party (no, I’m not repeating myself) or whether it might be a cadre of “somewhat” moderate/centrist representatives who just want to get reelected. Either group could seriously disrupt any Democrat agenda, if they manage to actually come up with something besides “Impeach!”
That said, Democrats are well-known for their iron discipline. In the 2009 Obamacare fight, Obama managed to bully more than half a dozen (supposedly) “pro-life” congressmen into supporting the health care bill. They all had to know they were committing political suicide, and all lost their seats. But Pelosi is not Obama, and it remains to be seen if, on a major issue where she leads a majority she can in fact bully her whackadoodle caucus.
Moreover, even in her sagging mental state, Pelosi has to know that nothing the House passes has a remote chance of gaining Senate support unless it is, well, reasonable. That is a foreign word to this crop of Democrats but we shall see.
Meanwhile, ballots are still being counted and re-counted around the country. In Arizona, over half a million votes are yet to be counted with Martha McSally (R) holding a slim lead over her Democrat opponent. Based on where the votes have come from, I think McSally will emerge the winner. If so, my senate projection of “4-7 pickups” will be barely reached. But for the Republicans, this was a mammoth blown opportunity. John Tester has no business ever winning an election in red Montana; in Ohio where the Republican congressmen held their seats and Mike DeWine won the governor’s race comfortably, Jim Renacci could not defeat Sherrod Brown; and in West Virginia, the amazing Joe Manchin hangs on like Tom Cruise in a Mission Impossible opener, clinging to a sheer cliff wall without breaking a sweat.
Even so, Republicans swapped out four Democrats and a neverTrumper Republican for solid Trump supporters in Indiana, Florida, Missouri, Tennessee, and North Dakota. And looking ahead to 2020, the Democrats know they are already sitting on one sure loss in Doug (“I didn’t get near no school yard”) Jones.
At any rate, Pelosi can spend two years attacking Trump and ensuring his reelection or she can craft some kind of useful legislation that adds to Trump’s luster and . . . ensures his reelection. It’s a great problem to have.
He Found His Spine: Vulnerable Senator Cory Gardner Vows to Support Trump’s SCOTUS Nominee
Gardner found his backbone.
Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO) has often been at odds with the Trump movement, being a favorite of the GOP establishment’s Senate Leadership Fund.
This is why his recent declaration that he will be supporting President Donald Trump’s choice to succeed the deceased Ruth Bader Ginsburg is so surprising. He made the announcement in a Twitter post on Monday.
“When a President exercises constitutional authority to nominate a judge for the Supreme Court vacancy, the Senate must decide how to best fulfill its constitutional duty of advice and consent,” Gardner said in his official statement.
“I have and will continue to support judicial nominees who will protect the Constitution, not legislate from the bench, and uphold the law. Should a qualified nominee who meets this criteria be put forward, I will vote to confirm,” he added.
The official statement can be seen here:
Read my full statement on the Supreme Court vacancy ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/n2YNP8O0Bz
— Cory Gardner (@SenCoryGardner) September 21, 2020
The president’s pick for the Supreme Court will certainly fit Gardner’s criteria. Trump has announced that he will be appointing a woman to the bench.
One top contender – Amy Comey Barrett – recently made a trip to the White House, as Big League Politics has reported:
Judge Amy Coney Barrett visited the White House on Monday, as President Donald Trump zeroes in on selecting a nominee to fill the vacant seat on the US Supreme Court.
Barrett is reportedly a front-runner for the judicial nomination. She’s a generally conservative judge, with a staunch pro-life record. Her track record on immigration law issues is generally conservative.
Barrett currently serves as a circuit judge of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has advised President Trump that she is his preferred candidate for the seat on the court.
President Trump had confirmed that he plans to nominate a woman to fill the seat of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg, who died of complications from pancreatic cancer on Friday.
Democrats have launched a full-fledged fit urging President Trump to give them a break and decline to nominate a conservative justice, but they won’t be so lucky. Republican Senators and President Trump have rallied around the notion of appointing a justice before the November election, fulfilling their constitutional responsibilities.
Trump confirmed that he would be revealing the identity of his judicial nominee on Friday or Saturday, taking a few extra days to vet candidates. Florida Judge Barbara Lagoa is reportedly another candidate being considered for the nomination.
It’ll be inherently harder for incensed, power-thirsty Democrats to attack a female judicial candidate. Maybe they’ll alienate swing female voters through waging a scorched earth campaign to block the confirmation of Barrett, who is a mother of seven.
The Republicans have a great opportunity to score a major political victory and really stick it to the extreme Left with this expedited SCOTUS confirmation. The fact that a moderate like Gardner is on board is a great sign that the confirmation is likely to occur before November’s election.
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