A new poll shows that President Donald Trump is leading with Hispanic voters in the state of Florida, a major political reversal among a demographic that has traditionally voted for Democrats. The NBC/Marist poll reveals that Donald Trump leads among Florida Latinos by 50% to 46%.
Hillary Clinton won 63% of Florida Hispanics in 2016, signaling a massive change in party affiliation with the demographic.
Trump also leads Biden overall amongst all registered voters in the state, with 48% of Floridians supporting Trump and 47% Biden. The two candidates are tied when self-declared likely voters are queried.
Trump also leads with white voters, leading 56% to 41% among the traditionally Republican demographic. Biden makes up with an overwhelming massive lead among black voters, taking 83% of the demographic. He also leads with seniors, a category that President Trump won in 2016.
Biden has accounted on aggressively competing with traditionally Republican senior voters and affluent suburbanites in an effort to defeat Trump in the November election. However, if Trump were to offset his appeal to the Republican voter base by drawing more Hispanic voters, the electoral map could end up looking similar to 2016.
The poll showing President Trump’s competitive appeal to many Hispanic voters could signal good signs for his reeelection prospects in states such as Arizona and Texas.
The NBC poll queried 1,047 registered voters from throughout Florida, with a margin of error of 3.7%.
Republican Voter Registration is Surging in Florida, Arizona, and Pennsylvania in the Runup to the November Election
This is even more important than polls.
The Republican Party is handily registering more voters than Democrats in the critical swing states of Florida, Arizona, and Pennsylvania in the advance of the 2020 presidential election, a strong sign for the GOP in the competitive states.
Republicans have registered more than 135,000 voters to their party than Democrats have since 2016, a handy lead in a state in which the margin of victory was 44,000. Pennsylvania is probably the most critical state in the 2020 election.
Republicans have registered a strong plurality of the new voters to register in Arizona since August, with 43% of these voters aligning as Republican. 26% have registered as Democrats, and 29% registered with no party affiliation or with another political party.
Did some further number crunching on the newly registered 57,000 voters in Maricopa, including those from #VoterRegistrationDay that have been input in the system. So far, good news for GOP.
GOP: +24,753 (43%)
DEM: +14,815 (26%)
Other: +16,966 (29%)
— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) September 24, 2020
President Trump won the southwestern state by 4.5% in 2016, with rapid population growth and immigration turning Arizona into a purple state.
Republicans appear to be crushing Democrats in decisive fashion in the voter registration struggle in Florida, registering a whopping 41% more voters than the Democrat Party is in the state. The GOP registered 58,000 new Republican voters in August alone, a 91% increase when compared to August of 2016. Leading Democrats have even been sounding the alarm in the state, having lost it in 2016 with a far greater numerical voting lead then they’ll have this time.
The Joe Biden campaign has largely refrained from traditional political activism and door-knocking in the state, preferring to let their candidate speak through appearances on Sunday shows and softball interviews.
If the President wins these three states, he’s in an extremely strong position for victory, even if Biden wins Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. He’d need to hold North Carolina and Ohio to end up with 274 electoral college votes in this scenario.
These statistics are more pertinent than polls with highly questionable methodologies and flawed participant selection methods.
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