Last year, Axios wrote a piece gushing about America’s growing racial diversity.
It noted that “America is more racially diverse than at any point in history, and racial minorities are becoming more geographically dispersed than ever before.”
Indeed, the 2020 census will have many people interested in seeing what it reveals about America’s current democratic landscape.
The current demographic shift taking place in America will be one of the most talked about stories in the next few decades. Its political implications may be even greater.
Hispanics and Asian Americans are the fastest-growing racial minority groups, which increased by 18.6 percent and 27.4 percent, respectively, between 2010 and 2018, based on a report by Brookings Institution demographer Bill Frey. His 2018 book “Diversity Explosion” highlighted some aspects of America’s majority-minority future.
Several points stuck out:
- Immigrants are moving beyond traditionally popular metro areas such as Los Angeles, New York, and San Francisco and moving to smaller cities across the nation, which includes the Midwest and Northeast.
- African Americans are returning to the South, with cities like Atlanta, Charlotte, Orlando and Dallas witnessing significant reverse migration since 2010. Las Vegas, Phoenix, and Seattle also saw significant growth in their black populations.
During this period, the white population only grew by 0.1 percent since 2010 and is expected to decline during the next decade. Since 2010, 96 percent of all American counties saw reductions in their share of the white population
“In the next 5–6 years, we’re going to see an actual decline in white population,” Frey told Axios, calling attention to the dwindling share of the white population since 2000 among children below the age of 18. “In the next 10 years or so, the 20-something population will become minority white. It’s happening from the bottom up of the age structure.”
Coastal elites may enjoy diversity, but it does come at a cost. In his book Bowling Alone, political scientist Robert Putnam observed decreases in social capital and overall trust in societies that embraced more diversity for diversity’s sake.
However, there is a stronger political play behind the praise for diversity. According to certain figures, the post-1965 migration wave of immigrants have been a reliable voting segment for Democrats. Should this mass migration pattern continue, the Republican Party will eventually fade into obscurity. Even worse, such an uncontrolled wave could put American institutions on the brink of dysfunction, as the country can no longer assimilate such massive waves of migrants and its political institutions change as a result.
The least the U.S. could do is establish an immigration moratorium in the mold of the Johnson-Reed Act of 1924 to allow migrants to assimilate in the next few decades.
For the sake of maintaining social cohesion and allowing migrants to become a part of mainline America, such a pause in migration is necessary.
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