It is likely that global powers are expecting the Trump administration to react temperamentally regarding recent North Korean missile launches. However, at present, military aggression on the part of the Trump administration may be too predictable to garner the most profitable outcome for the U.S.
North Korea is a rogue power serving as an agitator for the Chinese. It is trying to box President Trump into a situation where he appears overly confrontational or submissive depending on his course of action. Although merely a surrogate of China, North Korea cannot be underestimated. It has a strong military with unknown capability in terms of weapons capacity. If Trump answers North Korea with aggression, he will be publicized by his opposition as foolish enough to hasten the start of a nuclear war. If he does not answer the North Korean threat, he will be painted as a paper tiger.
It is likely that strategies are designed by China and North Korea to counter predictable responses on the part of the President. The U.S.’s response to North Korea should be unpredictable, yet costly to the Chinese. Trump should propose incentives for U.S. companies in China to come back to the U.S., or relocate to India, or other Western-friendly countries near China’s sphere of influence. The greatest incentives would be granted to companies that ready to close doors and leave China the soonest. In addition, additional merchant marine and naval support should be granted to countries that receive the bulk of U.S. companies relocating from China. This two-pronged approach is needed to hedge further Chinese naval aggression in key trade routes.
Perhaps Secretary of State Tillerson should reach out to India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Taiwan in answering China’s powerplay via North Korea. These countries still have capacity to develop sectors where the Chinese are starting to become more complacent. As many in the Chinese workforce are demanding greater pay, and companies in China are looking to evolve toward industries requiring greater intellectual capacity, the Chinese are starting to price themselves out of low and mid-cost global labor markets. Many countries near China’s sphere of influence are hungry too fill that void.
Aggressive diplomacy on the part of the U.S. will force the Chinese and the North Koreans to respond diplomatically or militarily. An aggressive response from China may warrant crippling U.S. tariffs on key Chinese exports. A naval powerplay by the Chinese in waters too far away from its mainland will warrant military reprisal by countries whose waters the Chinese violate. China would take great risk in striking countries with ports and waters additional naval capacity on the part of the U.S.
Those on the left will likely complain that Trump is urging conflict and putting U.S. trade at risk. However, given the provocations of North Korea, aggressive diplomacy is a defensible course of action. Chinese trespass on global trade routes, diminished trade partnership and currency power are what the U.S. and the West should expect if China goes unchecked for North Korea’s recent nuclear missile launches.
For the past decade, China has blatantly manipulated currency, bought sovereign territory in other countries, and has constructed islands off its coast, attempting to extend its naval sovereignty and dominate trade waters. Letting the Chinese go unchecked for the actions of North Korea will have disastrous financial consequences for the U.S. and the West.
North Korea will likely assist other anti-Western countries in designing their own nuclear program. It has already worked with the Iranians regarding their growing nuclear program. China is the only country North Korea will answer too. For North Korea or any country aligned with China to stop agitating Western powers, the U.S. must hurt China both economically and in terms of diplomatic strategy.
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President Trump’s Approval Rating Soars as the Public Increasingly Supports His Coronavirus Response
The public supports Trump’s crisis response.
A Gallup poll has shown that President Trump’s approval rating has jumped to 49 percent as the coronavirus pandemic continues.
His approval rating has jumped five points in the past month. This matches his all-time high, which was previously achieved in late January and early February. Ninety-two percent of Republicans support the President, while 43 percent of independents and 13 percent of Democrats approve of Trump.
Americans also approve of the way President Trump has handled the coronavirus pandemic. Sixty percent of Americans support Trump’s disaster response while 38 percent of Americans disapprove. Ninety-four percent of Republicans support his response, while 60 percent of independents and 27 percent of Democrats support how Trump has handled coronavirus.
“The Trump administration has received some criticism for its response to the COVID-19 pandemic — including that the president downplayed the threat, at least up until his nationally televised address on March 11,” Gallup noted in their report.
“On March 16, Trump acknowledged the seriousness of the situation by urging people to avoid gatherings of more than 10 people and to have workers and students stay home if possible. The administration has had daily press conferences since then to update the nation on what the federal government is doing to address the situation,” they added.
It is not uncommon for an incumbent president to gain in popularity during a crisis, as every commander-in-chief in office during a serious threat has gained support from the public as a result.
“Historically, presidential job approval has increased when the nation is under threat. Every president from Franklin Roosevelt through George W. Bush saw their approval rating surge at least 10 points after a significant national event of this kind. Bush’s 35-point increase after 9/11 is the most notable rally effect on record,” Gallup noted.
Although he is peaking right now, President Trump has consistently shown strength in various polls for many months as the public realizes the fake news is lying about his administration:
New polling from Quinnipiac released Thursday shows President Donald Trump handily defeating every major Democratic presidential candidate in hypothetical general election matchups…
Well-known Democrats Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden are the most competitive candidates against Trump in the Wisconsin general election, and even they lose by a considerable seven points to the incumbent Republican president.
Even Pete Buttigieg, an Indiana mayor who claims to have a credible path to victory in midwestern states the President grabbed from the Democratic Party in 2016, appears nowhere near seriously competing in the state.
The polling suggests Democrats will have a serious uphill battle in order to contend for the electoral votes of midwestern states such as Wisconsin, in 2020 or other future Presidential elections.
President Trump’s polling in statewide and national surveys has consistently improved as the Democratic Primary erupts in contention, suggesting that the divisions within the Democratic Party may bode well for his re-election.
The state was formerly assumed to be a safe blue state, before Trump won its electoral votes in a shocking upset in 2016. Pennsylvania and Michigan also went Republican for the first time in decades in Trump’s victory, and will prove essential to the election in 2020. Polling of the latter two states shows closer general election contests than in Wisconsin.
President Trump is showing his leadership bona fides during the crisis, and the public is thrilled with the way he is handling the coronavirus pandemic.
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