Mitt Romney admitted during a Munich Security Conference panel in Germany that President Donald Trump is “likely” to be re-elected on Friday.
Romney’s admission could be interpreted as a tacit admission that the Utah Republican was seeking to overturn the likely will of the American voter in the 2020 election. Romney was the only Republican to vote to convict Trump on Democratic impeachment charges, claiming he warranted removal from office for temporarily suspending foreign aid to Ukraine.
“I can tell you I think it’s likely he will get reelected, not because he’s highly popular, but because I think the Democrats are not going to nominate someone who’ll be a very effective competitor.”
Romney’s answer when asked about Trump’s re-election chances seems to suggest he believes Democrats are going to nominate Bernie Sanders. Establishment conservatives such as Romney often tend to underestimate populist political figures such as Sanders in a similar manner that they did Trump in the 2016 election. (Romney did admit that he “did not predict that President Trump would become President Trump.”)
Romney was lauded for his impeachment vote by the crowd at the annual event, a mainstay institution for the western political elite. A moderator for the panel claimed he “probably the most courageous lawmaker we have in the United States.”
The failed 2012 presidential candidate may have alienated himself even further from the Republican party with remarks that seemed dismissive of his Senate colleagues, describing them as beholden to the President.
In what may have been his most self-reflective remarks of the night, Romney admitted there was little to no desire among the American public for the outdated liberal conservative principles he’s known for.
“Right now, the nature of American politics is highly populist… I’m perhaps a throwback. I jokingly say I have about 2% of the population that’s with me.”
I think that might be a bit on the high side, Mitt.
Trump Campaign Autopsy Shows Decline in Support From White Men, Coronavirus Epidemic Cost President Re-Election
The 2016 coalition didn’t hold this election.
A post-election autopsy reveals that Donald Trump lost the 2020 presidential election by losing support from White men and Americans who disapproved of his handling and communication regarding the coronavirus epidemic.
Data suggesting as such was obtained by Trump campaign pollster Tony Fabrizio.
“Racially, POTUS suffered his greatest erosion with White voters, particularly White Men in both state groups,” Fabrizio revealed in his findings. Fabrizio referred to swing states that Trump had held from 2016 and those he had lost. The pollster queried voters in ten different states.
Trump also suffered a decline in support from the youngest Americans and those older than 65. There’s strong reason to believe that some assertions within the Republican Party that the coronavirus pandemic was “no biggie” played a crucial in eroding President Trump’s support among seniors, a vital constituency that has traditionally been strongly Republican. Fabrizio’s data indicates that the coronavirus pandemic was by far and away the most important campaign issue in the 2020 election, and that its importance among the electorate played decisively in Joe Biden’s favor.
President Trump’s support among White Men declined by as much as 12% in swing states that he lost in 2020. Joe Biden also improved his vote share among the demographic, which still voted strongly Republican, although in a diminished fashion.
It’s been said that Joe Biden won the election with a Democratic version of the so-called “Sailer Strategy,” discarding the Obama coalition in favor of making direct appeals to white seniors who traditionally vote Republican.
At the direction of Jared Kushner, the Trump 2020 campaign prioritized minority outreach and the so-called ‘Platinum Plan’ in hopes of expanding the President’s base of support. This appears to have been only partially successful, and may have come at the crucial cost of outreach energy and resources targeting middle-class white voters who won Trump the presidency.
Wow! Who saw that coming, besides EVERYONE?
"The autopsy says that Trump saw the 'greatest erosion with white voters, particularly white men.'” https://t.co/y7c4vGmrWt
— Ann Coulter (@AnnCoulter) February 2, 2021
President Trump expanded his support from Hispanic Americans, a vital constituency in states such as Texas, Nevada and Florida. However, the midwestern Rust Belt has smaller Hispanic communities, and Trump ultimately lost Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Hispanic outreach in Arizona, a state Trump lost by 10,000 votes, didn’t prove as successful as it was in other Sun Belt states, especially with the state’s White senior population inching to the left, relative to 2016. Buffed Hispanic support didn’t prove enough to ultimately swing Nevada, although the President secured a comfortably high margin of victory in Florida.
Trump’s buffed appeal with Hispanics wasn’t matched with Black voters, who largely voted in a fashion comparable to the 2016 election.
A future Republican candidate- even Trump himself, should he choose to run- would have to look more closely at the path to victory staked out in Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign if they seek a strategy with a proven record of success. It’s entirely plausible to believe that future nationalist, populist and conservative presidential candidates can receive even greater levels of Hispanic support while regaining the white blue-collar populist demographic that swept President Trump into the White House in 2016.
Unfortunately, Fabrizio’s autopsy is likely to be wholly ignored, with a sizable contingent of conservatives blaming Trump’s loss exclusively on a set of election steal theories from “brand” online lifestyle influencers. With a persistent fixation on empty dopamine hits, it may prove that Republicans will never a national election ever again, powerless as the Left and corporations transform the United States into a left-liberal oligarchy.
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